Talks & Publications

Publications

Differential Emission Measure evolution as a precursor of solar flares, Gontikakis et al.: 2018, Solar Phys., submitted

Testing and Improving a Set of Morphological Predictors of Flaring Activity, Kontogiannis et al.: 2018, Solar Phys., 293:96, doi: 10.1007/s11207-018-1317-2

Connecting Coronal Mass Ejections to their Solar Active Region Sources: Combining Results from the HELCATS and FLARECAST Projects, Murray et al.: 2018, Solar Physics, doi: 10.1007/s11207-018-1287-4

Forecasting Solar Flares Using Magnetogram-based Predictors and Machine Learning, Florios et al.: 2018, Solar Physics, 293:28, doi: 10.1007/s11207-018-1250-4

Active Region Photospheric Magnetic Properties Derived from Line-of-sight and Radial Fields, Guerra et al.: 2018,  Solar Physics, 293:9, doi: 10.1007/s11207-017-1231-z

A hybrid supervised/unsupervised machine learning approach to solar flare prediction, Benvenuto et al.: 2018, Astrophys. J., 853, article id.1

Verification of space weather forecasts issued by the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre, Sharpe and Murray: 2017, Space Weather,15, 1383-1395, doi: 10.1002/2017SW001683

Non-neutralized electric currents in solar active regions and flare productivity, Kontogiannis et al.: 2017, Solar Physics, 292:159, doi: 10.1007/s11207-017-1185-1

Testing predictors of eruptivity using parametric flux emergence simulations, Guennou et al.: 2017, Space Weather and Space Climate, 7:A17, doi: 10.1051/swsc/2017015

Relative magnetic helicity as a diagnostic of solar eruptivity, Pariat et al.: 2017, Astronomy & Astrophysics, doi: 10.1051/0004-6361/201630043

Flare Forecasting at the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre, Murray et al.: 2017, Space Weather, doi: 10.1002/2016SW001579

A Comparison of Flare Forecasting Methods, I: Results from the “All-Clear” Workshop, Barnes et al.: 2016, Astrophys. J., 829, article id.89 (28pp)

Flaring Rates and the Evolution of Sunspot Group McIntosh Classifications. McCloskey et al.: 2016, Solar Phys., 291, 1711 – 1738


 

Talks at science conferences and meetings

 

The Next Level in Automated Solar Flare Forecasting: The EU FLARECAST Project

Speaker: Manolis Georgoulis
Event: AGU Fall Meeting
Place: New Orleans, USA
Date: December 12, 2017
Link to presentation

FLARECAST: Learning from the Past to Predict the Future

Speaker: André Csillaghy
Event: Second Swiss SCOSTEP Workshop
Place: Lugano, Switzerland
Date: October 10-11, 2017
Link to presentation

Raumschiff – the Maker-Space for Astronomy (invited talk)

Speaker: Hanna Sathiapal
Event: Astronomy Museums, Visitor Centres and Public Observatories Workshop
Place: Leiden, The Netherlands
Date: September 27-29, 2017
Link to presentation

Progress and Challenges towards a Future Integrated Space Weather Forecasting System (invited talk)

Speaker: Manolis Georgoulis
Event: SEPRAD – Workshop Forecasting of Solar Energetic Particle Radiation Effects
Place: Sebersdorf, Austria
Date: September 18-19, 2017
Link to presentation

FLARECAST: the fully automated solar flare forecasting system (invited talk)

Speaker: Manolis Georgoulis
Event:  PROGRESS Summer School
Place: Alcudia, Mallorca, Spain
Date: July 26-28, 2017
Link to presentation

Connecting coronal mass ejections to their solar active region sources: combining results from the HELCATS and FLARECAST projects

Speaker: Sophie Murray
Event: Space Weather of the Heliosphere: Processes and Forecasts, IAU Symposium 335
Place: University of Exeter, UK
Date: July 17-21, 2017
Link to presentation

 

How to anticipate flares and superflares? (invited review)

Speaker: Nicole Vilmer
Event: Space Weather of the Heliosphere: Processes and Forecasts, IAU Symposium 335
Place: University of Exeter, UK
Date: July 17-21, 2017
Link to presentation

 

Testing predictors of eruptivity using parametric flux emergence simulations

Speaker: Chloé Guennou
Event:  National Astronomy Meeting 2017 NAM
Place: University of Hull, UK
Date: July 6, 2017
Link to presentation

Utilisation de l’hélicité magnétique dans la prévision des éruptions solaires

Speaker: Etienne Pariat
Event:  Journées 2017 de la Societé Française d’Astronomie & d’Astrophysique
Place: FIAP Paris, France
Date: July 5, 2017
Link to presentation

Non-neutralized currents and flaring activity in solar active regions

Speaker: Ioannis Kontogiannis
Event: 13th Hellenic Astronomical Conference
Place: Heraklion Crete, Greece
Date: July 3, 2017
Link to presentation

Relative magnetic helicity as a diagnostic of solar eruptivity

Speaker: Etienne Pariat
Event:  FLARECAST Science Workshop
Place: Paris-Meudon, France
Date: June 29, 2017
Link to presentation

Reliability of Photospheric Eruptive Proxies Using Parametric Flux Emergence Simulations

Speaker: Chloé Guennou
Event:  FLARECAST Science Workshop
Place: Paris-Meudon, France
Date: June 29, 2017
Link to presentation

Relative Magnetic Helicity as a Diagnostic of Solar Eruptivity in Flux Emergence Simulations

Speaker: Etienne Pariat
Event:  Flux Emergence Workshop
Place: Budapest, Hungary
Date: June 15, 2017
Link to presentation

FLARECAST: Flare Likelihood and Region Eruption ForeCASTing

Speaker: Nicole Vilmer
Event: HESPERIA workshop 2017
Place: Observatoire de Paris, Meudon, France
Date: February 27, 2017
Link to presentation

Forecasting solar Flares Using Magnetogram-based Predictors and Machine Learning

Speaker: Kostas Florios
Event: Weekly Seminar in Astronomy and Applied Mathematics
Place: Academy of Athens, Greece
Date: November 29, 2016
Link to presentation

FLARECAST Science: A Comprehensive Data Base of Solar Flare Predictors
Speaker: Manolis Georgoulis
Event: 13th European Space Weather Week
Place: Kursaal Oostende, Belgium
Date: November 16, 2016
Link to presentation

Comparing Different Solar Flare Prediction Methods (Keynote talk)
Speaker: Manolis Georgoulis
Event: 13th European Space Weather Week
Place: Kursaal Oostende, Belgium
Date: November 11, 2016
Link to presentation

FLARECAST Software Infrastructure – A Science-oriented Data Processing Framework
Speaker: Marco Soldati
Event: 13th European Space Weather Week
Place: Kursaal Oostende, Belgium
Date: November 15, 2016
Link to presentation

Flare Forecasting and Sunspot Group Evolution
Speaker: Aoife McCloskey
Event: ISSI Flare Forecasting International Team Meeting
Place: Bern, Switzerland
Date: October 24-28, 2016
Link to presentation

A statistical study of active region photospheric shear flows in relation to flares

Speaker: Sung-Hong Park
Event: ISSI Flare Forecasting International Team Meeting
Place: Bern, Switzerland
Date: October 24-28, 2016
Link to presentation

Solar Magnetic Data Analysis for the FLARECAST Project
Speaker: Dr. Jordan Guerra Aguilera, Trinity College Dublin
Event: Irish National Astronomy Meeting 2016
Place: University College Dublin, Ireland
Date: September 9, 2016
Link to presentation

Le Projet FLARECAST: Flare Likelihood and Region Eruption Forecasting
Speaker: Dr. Chloé Guennou, CNRS
Event: Space Weather Workshop of the Societé Française d’Astronomie et d’Astrophysique SF2A
Place: Université Claude Bernard, Lyon, France
Date: June 15, 2016
Link to presentation

The FLARECAST project and what lies beyond
Invited talk
Speaker: Dr. Manolis Georgoulis, AA
Event: European Geoscience Union General Assembly 2016
Place: Vienna, Austria
Date: April 18, 2016
Link to presentation

Performance Verification of Solar-Flare Prediction Models
Invited talk (A_EFFORT and FLARECAST)
Speaker: Dr. Manolis Georgoulis, AA
Event: ILWS Science for Space Weather
Place: Goa, India
Date: January 24-29, 2016
Link to presentation

Enhanced Observational Data Cadence and Advances in Discriminant Analysis for Solar Flare Prediction
Speaker: Dr. Manolis Georgoulis, AA
Event: 12th European Space Weather Week
Place: Kursaal Oostende, Belgium
Date: November 23, 2015
Link to presentation

Data Driven Prediction of Solar Flares
Speaker: Dr. André Csillaghy
Event: The Hacker Within: Scikit-Image
Place: Berkeley Institute of Data Science, USA
Date: November 4, 2015
Link to presentation

Application of NWP verification methods to verify space weather forecasts
Speaker: Prof. David R. Jackson, Met Office
Event: European Meteorological Society Annual Meeting
Place: Sofia, Bulgaria
Date: September 8, 2015

Transitioning space weather models to operations at the Met Office
Speaker: Dr. Sophie A. Murray, Met Office
Event: National Astronomy Meeting 2015
Place: Venue Cymru, Llandudno, UK
Date: July 9, 2015
Link to presentation

Improving Solar Flare Prediction by Combining Active Region Classifications
Speaker: Dr. D. Shaun Bloomfield, TCD
Event: National Astronomy Meeting 2015
Place: Venue Cymru, Llandudno, UK
Date: July 7, 2015

FLARECAST : « Flare Likelihood and Region Eruption Forecasting »: a space weather H2020 project
Speaker: Dr. Nicole Vilmer, CNRS
Event: Meteorologie: de l’atmosphère à l’espace
Place: LESIA, Meudon, France
Date: June 18, 2015
Link to presentation

FLARECAST : Flare Likelihood and Region Eruption Forecasting
Speaker: Dr. Manolis Georgoulis, AA
Event: 1st Meeting on Solar Flare Prediction
Place: ISSI, Bern, Switzerland
Date: January 27, 2015
Link to presentation

FLARECAST : Flare Likelihood and Region Eruption Forecasting
Speaker: Dr. Manolis Georgoulis, AA
Event: 11th European Space Weather Week
Place: Liège, Belgium
Date: November 17-21, 2014
Link to presentation


 

Posters

FLARECAST: The Automated Solar Flare Forecasting System

Authors: André  Csillaghy and the FLARECAST Team
Event: Astronomical Data AnalysisSoftware & Systems ADASS
Place: Santiago, Chile
Date: October 22-26, 2017
Link to poster

Spaceship – the Maker-Space for Astronomy (featuring FLARECAST outreach content)

Authors: Hanna Sathiapal et al.
Event: Astronomical Data AnalysisSoftware & Systems ADASS
Place: Santiago, Chile
Date: October 22-26, 2017
Link to poster

Morphological flaring activity predictors: testing and improving

Authors: Dr. Ioannis Kontogiannis et al.
Event: 13th Hellenic Astronomical Conference
Place: Heraklion Crete, Greece
Date: July 2-6, 2017
Link to poster

The FLARECAST project for solar flare forecasting
Authors: Dr. M. K. Georgoulis1; D. Shaun Bloomfield2 and the FLARECAST Consortium
Event: 7th Solar Orbiter Workshop
Place: Granada, Spain
Date: April 3-7, 2017
Link to poster

Solar Magnetic Data Analysis for the FLARECAST Project
Author: Dr. Jordan A. Guerra A.
Event: AGU Fall Meeting
Place: San Francisco, USA
Date: December 12, 2016
Link to poster

Exploring the solar flare predictive potential of non neutralized currents and Ising energy in solar active regions
Author: Dr. Ioannis Kontogiannis et. al.
Event: 13th European Space Weather Week
Place: Kursaal Oostende, Belgium
Date: November 19, 2016
Link to poster

Reliability of Photospheric Eruptive Proxies Using Parametric Flux Emergence Simulations
Author: Dr. Chloé Guennou et al.
Event: 13th European Space Weather Week
Place: Kursaal Oostende, Belgium
Date: November 19, 2016
Link to poster

Verification of flare forecasts at the Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre
Author: Dr. Sophie A. Murray et al.
Event: 13th European Space Weather Week
Place: Kursaal Oostende, Belgium
Date: November 18, 2016
Link to poster

Flare Likelyhood and Region Eruption foreCASTing
(E-Poster)
Author: Dr. Manolis Georgoulis et al.
Event: 13th European Space Weather Week
Place: Kursaal Oostende, Belgium
Date: November 16, 2016
Link to poster

Flare Likelihood and Region Eruption Forecasting (FLARECAST) Project: an Overview (E-Poster)
Author: Dr. Manolis Georgoulis et al.
Event: 12th European Space Weather Week
Place: Kursaal Oostende, Belgium
Date: November 24, 2015
Link to e-poster

Flare forecasting improvements at the Met Office (E-Poster)
Author: Dr. Sophie A. Murray, Met Office, et al.
Event: 12th European Space Weather Week
Place: Kursaal Oostende, Belgium
Date: November 24, 2015
Link to e-poster


 

Stands at fairs

FLARECAST
Communicators: Dr. Manolis Georgoulis, Hanna Sathiapal and the FLARECAST team
Event: 13th European Space Weather Week
Place: Kursaal Oostende, Belgium
Date: November 16, 2016

FLARECAST: Re-shaping the state-of-art in solar-flare prediction
Communicators: Dr. Manolis Georgoulis, Hanna Sathiapal and the FLARECAST team
Event: 12th European Space Weather Week
Place: Kursaal Oostende, Belgium
Date: November 25, 2015